Encouragingly, market performance during April 2025 suggests that Bitcoin and other digital assets may be part of the solution (Exhibit 2). In a volatile month for traditional assets — in which the VIX briefly exceeded 50% — Bitcoin’s price appreciated 15% and our market-cap weighted Crypto Sectors index gained 11% https://wedoweb.org/table-games/poker/. U.S. equities declined 1% on net, with weakness led by cyclical market segments. Gold and certain foreign currencies had gains comparable to Bitcoin on a risk-adjusted basis (i.e., accounting for each asset’s volatility).
Despite XRP’s remarkable 315% rally over the past year, the token has now faded into uncertainty, as it struggles to maintain momentum in 2025. Once driven by hopes of regulatory clarity and renewed institutional interest, XRP has dropped 20% over the past month.
Back in early March, Finbold consulted xAI’s Grok 3 model for insight as to when Bitcoin prices could reach a bottom. According to the LLM’s output, the bottom might have already been reached, as it predicted this would happen in the $78,000 to $82,000 range between mid-March and early April. In addition, Grok predicted that a consolidation period would follow — which matches up with the findings shared here today.
With its native cryptocurrency, Ether (ETH), Ethereum powers transactions and fuels innovation across various crypto sectors. Like all cryptocurrencies, ETH’s volatile nature is evident through its frequent all-time highs and occasional lows.
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From Bitcoin and Ethereum to an ever-growing list of altcoins, cryptocurrencies have taken a new generation of investors around the world by storm. Fast-moving and volatile, this industry keeps participants, observers, and regulators on their toes. As mainstream companies explore cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies for new markets — or even to build them within virtual worlds — the crypto space is in a rapid state of evolution.
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Leverage and liquidation risk: The current leverage ratio in the cryptocurrency market is relatively high (perpetual contract funding rates have recently rebounded), if CPI data triggers violent price fluctuations, it may trigger large-scale liquidations. For example, after the February CPI data was released, Bitcoin’s trading volume surged 40% within 1 hour, with obvious panic selling. Additionally, tariff policy and inflation transmission: The automobile import tariffs (25%) implemented by the Trump administration on April 2 may push up US import costs, exacerbating imported inflation pressure. If March CPI data exceeds expectations as a result, the market may further worry about Fed policy tightening, putting pressure on crypto assets.
Compared to the bustling March, April seems much quieter. The Federal Reserve has no meetings, and central banks of major economies are also temporarily subdued. We’ll see more continuation of relevant policies, such as the implementation of Trump’s tariff policies and the Fed’s slowing of balance sheet reduction.
SEC closes investigation into Crypto.com. On March 27, Crypto.com announced that it had received a No-Action Letter closing the SEC’s investigation in the crypto exchange. Crypto.com had reportedly received a Wells Notice from the Commission in August 2024 asserting that several of the cryptocurrencies sold on Crypto.com were unregistered securities. In response, Crypto.com filed a declaratory relief action in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Texas in October 2024, seeking to enjoin the SEC from bringing a civil action against the exchange.
April 23, 2025, marked a pivotal day in cryptocurrency news with significant developments impacting Bitcoin, Chiliz, and the legal landscape. Bitcoin, after a sharp decline due to new US tariffs, showed a strong recovery, decoupling from US risk assets and aligning more with gold. This shift was fueled by ongoing tariff negotiations and the nearing deadline of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
